Season Simulations

D3 WBB season simulations, based off Efficiency Ratings, to project NCAA Qualification rates.
This data is for the 2025-26 pre-season.

Last updated: November 13, 2025 at 02:48 PM EST

Season Simulations

Team Conf MedW MedL Tourn% A% C% ALWYNI% F-C% SF-C% QF-C% Top4% Top8% Top16% Med-NPI Min Max Rank

Column Legend

Team Name of the college or university basketball team
Conf Conference affiliation of the team
MedW Median number of wins projected across simulations
MedL Median number of losses projected across simulations
Tourn% Percentage of simulations making the NCAA Tournament
A% Percentage of simulations winning their conference's AQ
C% Percentage of simulations getting an at-large bid
ALWYNI% Percentage of simulations NOT winning their conference's AQ, and getting an at-large bid
F-C% Percentage of simulations getting a Pool C when final loss was in conference finals
SF-C% Percentage of simulations getting a Pool C when final loss was in conference semifinals
QF-C% Percentage of simulations getting a Pool C when final loss was in conference quarterfinals
Top4% Percentage of simulations finishing in top 4 nationally
Top8% Percentage of simulations finishing in top 8 nationally
Top16% Percentage of simulations finishing in top 16 nationally
Med-NPI Median NPI value across simulations
Min Minimum NPI value across simulations
Max Maximum NPI value across simulations
Rank Rank of ALWYNI&

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